The UK government is considering taking further England-wide measures including a short period of restrictions across the country to try to slow a second surge of coronavirus cases.
A few weeks of national rules – or a “circuit break” – could be announced in the next week, BBC political editor Laura Kuenssberg has been told.
Schools and most workplaces would be kept open during those weeks.
But no final decisions have yet been reached on the next course of action.
At a meeting on Wednesday night, the government’s chief scientific adviser and medical officer predicted another serious outbreak of the disease.
They forecast that there would be a significant number of deaths by the end of October if there were no further interventions.
The possible measures being discussed include asking some hospitality businesses to close, or limiting the opening hours of some pubs and restaurants nationwide.
The virus is now understood to be doubling every seven to eight days, with more than 3,300 new cases reported on Thursday.
It comes as nearly two million people in north-east England are the latest to face local lockdown rules, which came into force on Friday. The restrictions will ban people from meeting other households, and restaurants and pubs will have to shut at 22:00 BST.
An announcement on a possible lockdown in parts of north-west England is expected from the government later on Friday.
Options for ministers
Under the so called “circuit break”, restrictions could be reintroduced in some public spaces nationwide for a period of a few weeks, but schools and workplaces would be kept open.
One of the ideas suggested by the government’s Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies (Sage) is that some parts of the hospitality sector could be asked to close.
No 10 is also considering the possibility of limiting the opening hours of pubs and restaurants across the country, as has already happened in some areas.
However Prime Minister Boris Johnson is understood to be deeply reluctant to order another national lockdown, where everyone would be asked to stay at home and businesses to close.
This week he described the potential impact of a second national lockdown on the economy as “disastrous”.
On Thursday morning, Chancellor Rishi Sunak is understood to have presented warnings of the damage to the economy.
And ministers are also concerned about the impact of more restrictions on daily life on those who need treatment for non-Covid related illnesses.
However, the government has not yet taken any final decisions about the next course of action.
It is not yet clear what impact this week’s new rule banning social gatherings of more than six people will have on the rate of increase, and No 10 is continuing to monitor the data and take scientific advice.
But it seems increasingly likely that within the next week, the prime minister will tighten the national rules again, our correspondent said.
On Friday, parts of north-east England joined other areas across the UK in being under local lockdown rules.
The measures affect Newcastle, Gateshead, Sunderland, Northumberland, South Tyneside, North Tyneside and the County Durham council area.
As well as the ban on households mixing and early closures for pubs and restaurants, people should also only use public transport for essential travel and care homes are closed to visitors.
There are also local lockdown restrictions elsewhere in the UK – including Birmingham, Greater Manchester, Caerphilly, and the Belfast council area.
In other key developments:
- The number of new weekly cases in Europe has exceeded the number reported during the first peak of the pandemic, the head of the World Health Organization in Europe has warned
- The head of the UK government’s testing system – which has faced criticism in recent weeks – said demand for booking tests was three to four times the number available
- People arriving into England and Scotland from Singapore and Thailand will need to quarantine from Saturday morning
- Figures show nearly two thirds of adults are now travelling to work again
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